...possible to push machine capabilities way out in the continuum of intelligence. but it is another thing to say when. It was over four hundred years from da...in 1950 that man would hit the moon with a rocket within ten years. Gutenmacher. when told recently of the Simon and Newell prediction that a machine...

...some as "conservative". (Armer himself didn't agree explicitly, but his preceding sentence had been "Few would have believed in 1950 that man would hit the moon with a rocket within ten years": p. 405.) This hype had such strong roots that by the mid-1960s it had abated only...