Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. i
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. Beyond Rationality Egon Brunswik.A revolutionary thinker in psychology and an underappreciated man.
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. Beyond Rationality Egon Brunswik.A revolutionary thinker in psychology and an underappreciated man.
Стр. iv
... Hammond, Kenneth R. Beyond rationality: the search for wisdom in a troubled time / Kenneth R. Hammond. p. cm. ISBN-13 978-0-19-531174-7 ISBN 0-19-531174-4 1. Judgment. 2. Decision making. I. Title. BF447.H36 2007 153.4'6—dc22 2006010277 ...
... Hammond, Kenneth R. Beyond rationality: the search for wisdom in a troubled time / Kenneth R. Hammond. p. cm. ISBN-13 978-0-19-531174-7 ISBN 0-19-531174-4 1. Judgment. 2. Decision making. I. Title. BF447.H36 2007 153.4'6—dc22 2006010277 ...
Стр. xii
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. lives, uncertainty will be prominent (look at any airport!), for terrorism thrives on it. But if uncertainty evokes and demands yet our judgment, and if judgment is such an ...
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. lives, uncertainty will be prominent (look at any airport!), for terrorism thrives on it. But if uncertainty evokes and demands yet our judgment, and if judgment is such an ...
Стр. xiii
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. decision analysis did not drive out all nonreational features of decision making, for much depends on the interaction between the “aider” and the “decider.” His quotations from ...
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. decision analysis did not drive out all nonreational features of decision making, for much depends on the interaction between the “aider” and the “decider.” His quotations from ...
Стр. xvii
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. Explaining Coherence The concept of correspondence needs little explanation, for we frequently compare judgments with the empirical object or state of affairs judged ...
The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond. Explaining Coherence The concept of correspondence needs little explanation, for we frequently compare judgments with the empirical object or state of affairs judged ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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