Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. vi
... behavioral science. So I shall address the place of the romantic approach. Although most people are willing to accept that the physical universe is under the control of physical laws, that these laws are objective and universal, and ...
... behavioral science. So I shall address the place of the romantic approach. Although most people are willing to accept that the physical universe is under the control of physical laws, that these laws are objective and universal, and ...
Стр. xv
... we take kindly to the criticism that we “lack good judgment.” In the seventeenth century, a very keen observer of human behavior, François, Duc de La Rochefoucauld, wrote, “Everyone complains of his memory, and Introduction xv.
... we take kindly to the criticism that we “lack good judgment.” In the seventeenth century, a very keen observer of human behavior, François, Duc de La Rochefoucauld, wrote, “Everyone complains of his memory, and Introduction xv.
Стр. xix
... behavior in experiments. And the results of these experiments have enabled us to learn a great deal.12 It is now apparent that the twenty-first century will bring forward new and more sophisticated research to enlighten us about human ...
... behavior in experiments. And the results of these experiments have enabled us to learn a great deal.12 It is now apparent that the twenty-first century will bring forward new and more sophisticated research to enlighten us about human ...
Стр. 6
... behavior have relentlessly focused on people's motives; complex motivational theories (Freud's, for example) and restricted “reinforcement” theories fully occupy our attention. Even since the horrifying events of the twentieth century ...
... behavior have relentlessly focused on people's motives; complex motivational theories (Freud's, for example) and restricted “reinforcement” theories fully occupy our attention. Even since the horrifying events of the twentieth century ...
Стр. 7
... behavior when he said, The voice of the people is but an echo. The output of an echo chamber bears an inevitable relation to the input. . . . The electorate behaves about as rationally and responsibly as we should expect, given the ...
... behavior when he said, The voice of the people is but an echo. The output of an echo chamber bears an inevitable relation to the input. . . . The electorate behaves about as rationally and responsibly as we should expect, given the ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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