Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. ix
... Competence 29 4 The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell 55 5 The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational 77 6 Kennedy and Khrushchev: Seeking—and Failing—to Learn about the Other 101 7 How the Drive for Coherence Brings Down Utopias 111 ...
... Competence 29 4 The (Mis)Judgments of Colin Powell 55 5 The Coherence Strategy: Trying to Be Rational 77 6 Kennedy and Khrushchev: Seeking—and Failing—to Learn about the Other 101 7 How the Drive for Coherence Brings Down Utopias 111 ...
Стр. xvi
... coherence competence because it evaluates the consistency of the elements of the person's judgment. (Did the person ... competence; you don't turn to logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or ...
... coherence competence because it evaluates the consistency of the elements of the person's judgment. (Did the person ... competence; you don't turn to logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or ...
Стр. xvii
... coherence is not a familiar concept, however. So I explain this idea a bit more fully. Webster's Third International ... performance of each piece of the system—each plane—depends on the performance of each of the others. That ...
... coherence is not a familiar concept, however. So I explain this idea a bit more fully. Webster's Third International ... performance of each piece of the system—each plane—depends on the performance of each of the others. That ...
Стр. xviii
... coherence strategies for seeking truth in the newspapers every day. As I ... coherence only. Schlosser quotes the Harvard report that acknowledges, “Our model ... knowledge you do have. (Trial lawyers have an old saying to illustrate the ...
... coherence strategies for seeking truth in the newspapers every day. As I ... coherence only. Schlosser quotes the Harvard report that acknowledges, “Our model ... knowledge you do have. (Trial lawyers have an old saying to illustrate the ...
Стр. xix
... coherence and correspondence competence in the critical cognitive activity of judgment and decision making. That is, instead of merely arguing about their ideas, or justifying them by claiming coherence with some grand principle ...
... coherence and correspondence competence in the critical cognitive activity of judgment and decision making. That is, instead of merely arguing about their ideas, or justifying them by claiming coherence with some grand principle ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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