Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. xii
... example. Amartya Sen is a world-renowned scholar and a winner of a Nobel Prize in economics who recently wrote Rationality and Freedom. From an author such as this, we expect a clear definition and exposition of what “rationality ...
... example. Amartya Sen is a world-renowned scholar and a winner of a Nobel Prize in economics who recently wrote Rationality and Freedom. From an author such as this, we expect a clear definition and exposition of what “rationality ...
Стр. xiii
... example, Stephen Watson, the coauthor of a decision analysis text, wrote to Brown that “a reason for non use of [decision analysis] is the general flight from analysis. . . . Much of modern management writing talks about intuition and ...
... example, Stephen Watson, the coauthor of a decision analysis text, wrote to Brown that “a reason for non use of [decision analysis] is the general flight from analysis. . . . Much of modern management writing talks about intuition and ...
Стр. xvi
... example, as I will show below. First, however, we will have to agree on just what a mistaken judgment is, or how we will recognize a mistake when it happens. The Two Standards for Evaluating Judgment There are two general ways we ...
... example, as I will show below. First, however, we will have to agree on just what a mistaken judgment is, or how we will recognize a mistake when it happens. The Two Standards for Evaluating Judgment There are two general ways we ...
Стр. xvii
... example of coherence theory at work. Consider the case of air traffic control. On days when the weather creates delays, the delays can back up much of the system. For example, if planes aren't leaving San Francisco because destinations ...
... example of coherence theory at work. Consider the case of air traffic control. On days when the weather creates delays, the delays can back up much of the system. For example, if planes aren't leaving San Francisco because destinations ...
Стр. 3
... example of the belief of the educated in this process is offered to us by the great historian of ideas, Isaiah Berlin, who thought not only that we would never learn anything significant about human judgment but also that it wouldn't be ...
... example of the belief of the educated in this process is offered to us by the great historian of ideas, Isaiah Berlin, who thought not only that we would never learn anything significant about human judgment but also that it wouldn't be ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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