Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. v
... explain the nature of human judgment and the nature of the research that has been undertaken to study it. Second, I put forward a theory of human judgment that will serve to organize the content and form of the information provided ...
... explain the nature of human judgment and the nature of the research that has been undertaken to study it. Second, I put forward a theory of human judgment that will serve to organize the content and form of the information provided ...
Стр. vi
... explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a romanticist than I, and I am accepting that this barrier exists between us. Yet I hope and believe that it is a permeable barrier, and that ...
... explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a romanticist than I, and I am accepting that this barrier exists between us. Yet I hope and believe that it is a permeable barrier, and that ...
Стр. xvi
... explain how and why the concept of rationality no longer plays such a commanding role in the evaluation of the ... Explaining Coherence The concept of correspondence needs little explanation, for xvi Introduction.
... explain how and why the concept of rationality no longer plays such a commanding role in the evaluation of the ... Explaining Coherence The concept of correspondence needs little explanation, for xvi Introduction.
Стр. xvii
... explanation, for we frequently compare judgments with the empirical object or state of affairs judged, especially when ... explain this idea a bit more fully. Webster's Third International defines coherence as “a systematic or methodical ...
... explanation, for we frequently compare judgments with the empirical object or state of affairs judged, especially when ... explain this idea a bit more fully. Webster's Third International defines coherence as “a systematic or methodical ...
Стр. xx
... explain our mistakes in judgment to us. One psychologist, whose courage outran his abilities, did manage in the 1950s to convince a president of the United States that the president did have something to learn from him about wisdom ...
... explain our mistakes in judgment to us. One psychologist, whose courage outran his abilities, did manage in the 1950s to convince a president of the United States that the president did have something to learn from him about wisdom ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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