Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
Результаты поиска по книге
Результаты 1 – 5 из 81
Стр. vi
... fact a great deal is known about human judgment faces a difficult problem. I have explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a romanticist than I, and I am accepting that this barrier ...
... fact a great deal is known about human judgment faces a difficult problem. I have explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a romanticist than I, and I am accepting that this barrier ...
Стр. xviii
... facts available before they began their work. So they sought coherence among the facts they had. The correct criterion is the quality of the scientific information that went into the model and the logic of the model. When you don't have ...
... facts available before they began their work. So they sought coherence among the facts they had. The correct criterion is the quality of the scientific information that went into the model and the logic of the model. When you don't have ...
Стр. xix
... fact. Throughout Western history there has been a long, tortured philosophical discourse about these two strategies for making judgments and their relative value as roads to “truth.” But though these two judgment strategies are in ...
... fact. Throughout Western history there has been a long, tortured philosophical discourse about these two strategies for making judgments and their relative value as roads to “truth.” But though these two judgment strategies are in ...
Стр. xx
... fact of its existence. All of us are jealous of our judgment, and we do not care to have others explain our mistakes in judgment to us. One psychologist, whose courage outran his abilities, did manage in the 1950s to convince a ...
... fact of its existence. All of us are jealous of our judgment, and we do not care to have others explain our mistakes in judgment to us. One psychologist, whose courage outran his abilities, did manage in the 1950s to convince a ...
Стр. 9
... fact that everyone gets searched is society's way of managing uncertainty, and no doubt you have heard people ... fact he or she is innocent. (A false negative refers to someone declared innocent when in fact he or she is guilty ...
... fact that everyone gets searched is society's way of managing uncertainty, and no doubt you have heard people ... fact he or she is innocent. (A false negative refers to someone declared innocent when in fact he or she is guilty ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Часто встречающиеся слова и выражения
al-Qaeda analytical cognition answer Atul Gawande behavior believe bounded rationality Brunswik Cass Sunstein cognitive activity cognitive continuum cognitive processes coherence competence coherence strategy Colin Powell common sense concept correspondence competence correspondence strategy critical Daniel Kahneman demand described ecological economists Egon Brunswik empirical environment example explain fact feedback Gerd Gigerenzer Gigerenzer and Todd Hammond Holmes human judgment Ibid idea important inferences intelligence intentions intuition and analysis Iraq irreducible uncertainty Isaiah Berlin Jared Diamond judg judgment and decision Judgment and Social Justice Kahneman Kennedy Kenneth Khrushchev Lewis’s logic Manhattan Project mathematical ment method military multiple fallible indicators natural Oliver Wendell Holmes one’s organization Oxford University Press person Powell Powell’s preemptive war president problem psychologists question reader reason result Saddam Hussein Scalia Simon Social Policy society Sunstein tactics task terrorist theme theory thought tion wisdom wrong York