Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. v
... judgment and decision making. In the attempt to achieve this goal, I first explain the nature of human judgment and the nature of the research that has been undertaken to study it. Second, I put forward a theory of human judgment that ...
... judgment and decision making. In the attempt to achieve this goal, I first explain the nature of human judgment and the nature of the research that has been undertaken to study it. Second, I put forward a theory of human judgment that ...
Стр. vi
... judgment and decision making—far from it. Nearly everyone believes that free will applies here, and it is the essence of our freedom that we can think, and form our judgments, in whatever manner we choose, and that no researcher knows ...
... judgment and decision making—far from it. Nearly everyone believes that free will applies here, and it is the essence of our freedom that we can think, and form our judgments, in whatever manner we choose, and that no researcher knows ...
Стр. xi
... judgment and decision making are, what we have learned about the processes we apply to the task, which strategies work when and why, and what new modes of thought will need to be applied for future progress. By breaking the field down ...
... judgment and decision making are, what we have learned about the processes we apply to the task, which strategies work when and why, and what new modes of thought will need to be applied for future progress. By breaking the field down ...
Стр. xii
... judgment, and if judgment is such an integral part of our cognitive activity, surely we have developed ways of ... decision analysis and a long-term consultant to high levels of both industry and government, wrote an article titled “The ...
... judgment, and if judgment is such an integral part of our cognitive activity, surely we have developed ways of ... decision analysis and a long-term consultant to high levels of both industry and government, wrote an article titled “The ...
Стр. xiv
... judgment to have a clear, consistent conception of what rationality means, and what it requires? Because one of the ... decisions, and choices, and also how rationality has failed as a guide to the proper way to make those judgments ...
... judgment to have a clear, consistent conception of what rationality means, and what it requires? Because one of the ... decisions, and choices, and also how rationality has failed as a guide to the proper way to make those judgments ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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