Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. xiv
... logic which really gives his prose its powerful enchantment and its hypnotic effect. You appear to be reading logical argument which distinguishes between concepts and draws conclusions in a valid manner from premises, when all the time ...
... logic which really gives his prose its powerful enchantment and its hypnotic effect. You appear to be reading logical argument which distinguishes between concepts and draws conclusions in a valid manner from premises, when all the time ...
Стр. xv
... logic that is held up to us as a necessary condition for the rationality of a judgment. But not if you listen to the ... logical branches only a small part of the way and being satisfied with the result. Actually, Mr. Wolfowitz seemed to ...
... logic that is held up to us as a necessary condition for the rationality of a judgment. But not if you listen to the ... logical branches only a small part of the way and being satisfied with the result. Actually, Mr. Wolfowitz seemed to ...
Стр. xvi
... logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or that one person over there is taller than another. But sometimes there is no “tree,” that is, no criterion to allow us to evaluate the competence of ...
... logic to prove that the tree you see over there is larger than the one over here, or that one person over there is taller than another. But sometimes there is no “tree,” that is, no criterion to allow us to evaluate the competence of ...
Стр. xvii
... logical principles.” That is really all we need for our purposes. But Webster's further definition helps because it speaks directly to our interests: “Coherence theory: the theory that the ultimate criterion of truth is the coherence of ...
... logical principles.” That is really all we need for our purposes. But Webster's further definition helps because it speaks directly to our interests: “Coherence theory: the theory that the ultimate criterion of truth is the coherence of ...
Стр. xviii
... logic of the model. When you don't have new empirical facts, you rely on the coherence of your representation of what knowledge you do have. (Trial lawyers have an old saying to illustrate the difference between coherence and ...
... logic of the model. When you don't have new empirical facts, you rely on the coherence of your representation of what knowledge you do have. (Trial lawyers have an old saying to illustrate the difference between coherence and ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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