Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. v
... persons who have achieved it and those who have not, and have left ruin in their wake. Possibly the small step toward achieving wisdom that this book tries to take will contribute to slowing the march toward what now seems to be ...
... persons who have achieved it and those who have not, and have left ruin in their wake. Possibly the small step toward achieving wisdom that this book tries to take will contribute to slowing the march toward what now seems to be ...
Стр. xiii
... persons in the field reach the level of “shocking.” For example, Stephen Watson, the coauthor of a decision analysis text, wrote to Brown that “a reason for non use of [decision analysis] is the general flight from analysis. . . . Much ...
... persons in the field reach the level of “shocking.” For example, Stephen Watson, the coauthor of a decision analysis text, wrote to Brown that “a reason for non use of [decision analysis] is the general flight from analysis. . . . Much ...
Стр. xvi
... person's wisdom. Since one's wisdom defines one's value and status, the wise person gets respect from almost everyone; the fool from no one. Thus, everyone wants to be protective—and proud—of their judgments. And, of course, mistaken ...
... person's wisdom. Since one's wisdom defines one's value and status, the wise person gets respect from almost everyone; the fool from no one. Thus, everyone wants to be protective—and proud—of their judgments. And, of course, mistaken ...
Стр. xxi
... [his] ethical and philosophical creed.”16 It is hard to find a better description of why a person might turn away from rational analysis toward “feelings” written by someone so well versed in what “analysis” signifies. Introduction xxi.
... [his] ethical and philosophical creed.”16 It is hard to find a better description of why a person might turn away from rational analysis toward “feelings” written by someone so well versed in what “analysis” signifies. Introduction xxi.
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
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Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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