Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
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Стр. vi
... problem. I have explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a ... problems of political and social life, rather than exclusively from scientific and technical papers and books, as ...
... problem. I have explained this because I want the reader to know that I am guessing that the reader is more of a ... problems of political and social life, rather than exclusively from scientific and technical papers and books, as ...
Стр. xi
... problems inherent in judgment and decision making are, what we have learned about the processes we apply to the task, which strategies work when and why, and what new modes of thought will need to be applied for future progress. By ...
... problems inherent in judgment and decision making are, what we have learned about the processes we apply to the task, which strategies work when and why, and what new modes of thought will need to be applied for future progress. By ...
Стр. xvi
... problems—war, for example, as I will show below. First, however, we will have to agree on just what a mistaken judgment is, or how we will recognize a mistake when it happens. The Two Standards for Evaluating Judgment There are two ...
... problems—war, for example, as I will show below. First, however, we will have to agree on just what a mistaken judgment is, or how we will recognize a mistake when it happens. The Two Standards for Evaluating Judgment There are two ...
Стр. 5
... problem in the 1930s—we could defend our choice of Hitler as a wise man because millions of German citizens in the 1930s and 1940s venerated him. The same would be of true of Stalin and Mao, who were worshipped by millions of well ...
... problem in the 1930s—we could defend our choice of Hitler as a wise man because millions of German citizens in the 1930s and 1940s venerated him. The same would be of true of Stalin and Mao, who were worshipped by millions of well ...
Стр. 6
... problem solving. It is true that the scientific community has only recently pursued it, and it is also true that only a handful of experts on the subject can be found even now; just a half-century ago, there were none. Nevertheless ...
... problem solving. It is true that the scientific community has only recently pursued it, and it is also true that only a handful of experts on the subject can be found even now; just a half-century ago, there were none. Nevertheless ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
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