Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
Результаты поиска по книге
Результаты 1 – 5 из 77
Стр. xii
... result, at the beginning of the twenty-first century, there is no universal agreement on what it means to be rational. A proliferation of meanings makes it necessary for responsible authors to say exactly what they mean by rationality ...
... result, at the beginning of the twenty-first century, there is no universal agreement on what it means to be rational. A proliferation of meanings makes it necessary for responsible authors to say exactly what they mean by rationality ...
Стр. xiv
... result, it remains dependent on idiosyncratic preferences. But where should we go when we go beyond rationality? We will search for wisdom, because this is the term we have for the cognitive activity we employ that we believe is better ...
... result, it remains dependent on idiosyncratic preferences. But where should we go when we go beyond rationality? We will search for wisdom, because this is the term we have for the cognitive activity we employ that we believe is better ...
Стр. xv
... results would render the operation useless. So we should ask: Was Mr. Wolfowitz being irrational by not pursuing the ... result. Actually, Mr. Wolfowitz seemed to be satisfied with no pursuit of the branches until “we get there on the ...
... results would render the operation useless. So we should ask: Was Mr. Wolfowitz being irrational by not pursuing the ... result. Actually, Mr. Wolfowitz seemed to be satisfied with no pursuit of the branches until “we get there on the ...
Стр. xvii
... turn meant—as it has with Third World lending—going after riskier loan customers, with what turned out to the same disastrous results.10 Tension between Correspondence and Coherence We can see examples of Introduction xvii.
... turn meant—as it has with Third World lending—going after riskier loan customers, with what turned out to the same disastrous results.10 Tension between Correspondence and Coherence We can see examples of Introduction xvii.
Стр. xix
... results of these experiments have enabled us to learn a great deal.12 It is now apparent that the twenty-first century will bring forward new and more sophisticated research to enlighten us about human judgment. Even better, that ...
... results of these experiments have enabled us to learn a great deal.12 It is now apparent that the twenty-first century will bring forward new and more sophisticated research to enlighten us about human judgment. Even better, that ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Часто встречающиеся слова и выражения
al-Qaeda analytical cognition answer Atul Gawande behavior believe bounded rationality Brunswik Cass Sunstein cognitive activity cognitive continuum cognitive processes coherence competence coherence strategy Colin Powell common sense concept correspondence competence correspondence strategy critical Daniel Kahneman demand described ecological economists Egon Brunswik empirical environment example explain fact feedback Gerd Gigerenzer Gigerenzer and Todd Hammond Holmes human judgment Ibid idea important inferences intelligence intentions intuition and analysis Iraq irreducible uncertainty Isaiah Berlin Jared Diamond judg judgment and decision Judgment and Social Justice Kahneman Kennedy Kenneth Khrushchev Lewis’s logic Manhattan Project mathematical ment method military multiple fallible indicators natural Oliver Wendell Holmes one’s organization Oxford University Press person Powell Powell’s preemptive war president problem psychologists question reader reason result Saddam Hussein Scalia Simon Social Policy society Sunstein tactics task terrorist theme theory thought tion wisdom wrong York