Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled TimeOxford University Press, 4 янв. 2007 г. - Всего страниц: 368 With Beyond Rationality, Kenneth R. Hammond, one of the most respected and experienced experts in judgment and decision-making, sums up his life's work and persuasively argues that decisions should be based on balance and pragmatism rather than rigid ideologies. Hammond has long focused on the dichotomy between theories of correspondence, whereby arguments correspond with reality, and coherence, whereby arguments strive to be internally consistent. He has persistently proposed a middle approach that draws from both of these modes of thought and so avoids the blunders of either extreme. In this volume, Hammond shows how particular ways of thinking that are common in the political process have led to the mistaken judgments that created our current political crisis. He illustrates this argument by analyzing penetrating case studies emphasizing the political consequences that arise when decision makers consciously or unconsciously ignore their adversaries' particular mode of thought. These analyses range from why Kennedy and Khruschev misunderstood each other to why Colin Powell erred in his judgments over the presence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. For anyone concerned about the current state of politics in the U.S. and where it will lead us, Beyond Rationality is required reading. |
Результаты поиска по книге
Результаты 1 – 5 из 63
Стр. 6
... society and other societies by observing their choice of leader. But that information would tell us nothing about the psychological—particularly cognitive—processes that produce wisdom. It will take a theory of cognition—or better, of ...
... society and other societies by observing their choice of leader. But that information would tell us nothing about the psychological—particularly cognitive—processes that produce wisdom. It will take a theory of cognition—or better, of ...
Стр. 9
... society's way of managing uncertainty, and no doubt you have heard people complaint that it's obviously stupid and a waste of time. The name for the procedure that results in everyone being searched is “maximizing”; it refers to ...
... society's way of managing uncertainty, and no doubt you have heard people complaint that it's obviously stupid and a waste of time. The name for the procedure that results in everyone being searched is “maximizing”; it refers to ...
Стр. 10
... Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, understands the central role of the duality of error. In his discussion of the errors of judgment that environmentalists have made, he notes that the complaint “about some environmentalist ...
... Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, understands the central role of the duality of error. In his discussion of the errors of judgment that environmentalists have made, he notes that the complaint “about some environmentalist ...
Стр. 11
... of not permitting weapons on the plane (from the point of view of American society), because there would be none. But how should we think about denying authorities permission to search your The Central Role of Human Judgment 11.
... of not permitting weapons on the plane (from the point of view of American society), because there would be none. But how should we think about denying authorities permission to search your The Central Role of Human Judgment 11.
Стр. 15
... society mired in uncertainty, against which we have to pit our judgment. If we are awash in uncertainty, what does the English language have to say about “judgment”? We are as surrounded by “judgment” as we are by “uncertainty,” for ...
... society mired in uncertainty, against which we have to pit our judgment. If we are awash in uncertainty, what does the English language have to say about “judgment”? We are as surrounded by “judgment” as we are by “uncertainty,” for ...
Содержание
Strategies of Human Judgment | 27 |
Tactics of Human Judgment | 121 |
Themes Guiding Research | 197 |
Looking Backward | 243 |
Notes | 297 |
Bibliography | 319 |
Index | 321 |
Другие издания - Просмотреть все
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Beyond Rationality: The Search for Wisdom in a Troubled Time Kenneth R. Hammond Ограниченный просмотр - 2007 |
Часто встречающиеся слова и выражения
al-Qaeda analytical cognition answer Atul Gawande behavior believe bounded rationality Brunswik Cass Sunstein cognitive activity cognitive continuum cognitive processes coherence competence coherence strategy Colin Powell common sense concept correspondence competence correspondence strategy critical Daniel Kahneman demand described ecological economists Egon Brunswik empirical environment example explain fact feedback Gerd Gigerenzer Gigerenzer and Todd Hammond Holmes human judgment Ibid idea important inferences intelligence intentions intuition and analysis Iraq irreducible uncertainty Isaiah Berlin Jared Diamond judg judgment and decision Judgment and Social Justice Kahneman Kennedy Kenneth Khrushchev Lewis’s logic Manhattan Project mathematical ment method military multiple fallible indicators natural Oliver Wendell Holmes one’s organization Oxford University Press person Powell Powell’s preemptive war president problem psychologists question reader reason result Saddam Hussein Scalia Simon Social Policy society Sunstein tactics task terrorist theme theory thought tion wisdom wrong York