The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before PascalJohns Hopkins University Press, 27 июл. 2001 г. - Всего страниц: 497 How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. "A remarkable book. Mr. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."—Wall Street Journal "The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future."—Science "Franklin's style is clear and fluent, with an occasional sly Gibbonian aside to make the reader chuckle."—New Criterion James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales. |
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... witnesses brought against him , he can put forward other , better , witnesses against them . But if the two groups of witnesses cannot agree , let one man be chosen from each group to fight it out with shields and spears . Whoever loses ...
... witnesses in court . 89 The requirement of proof by the testimony of unimpeachable witnesses , or documents , or the genuine confession of the accused could only be weakened in the most difficult cases . For example , if a crime is ...
... witnesses for treason of certain kinds . The English rule came to prevail . Sir Walter Raleigh believed himself safe from charges of treason in 1603 , since there was only one witness against him , but he found him- self fatally ...
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The Ancient Law of Proof 1 | 1 |
Presumptions 7 Indian Law | 10 |
Renaissance Law | 40 |
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